Sloganator

Some possible slogans for a Billionaires for Bush appearance:

Dick makes my capital gain!
We own the ownership society!
Don’t touch my unearned assets!
HMO profits +52%!
Less health, more insurance profit!
Wages +0%, Profits +62%: Thanks!
We wrote, er, love the energy bill!
Cheney energizes my profits!
Drill in parks — and playgrounds!
Got oil? We do!
Oil shock = Profits!
I heart Subsidies
No Bids, No Worries!

For Tax Day, besides Tax Work, Not Wealth:
Gimme Tax Shelters
Taxes are for Little People
Kill the Dynasty Tax
You Pay, We Play

Lost opportunity

Actually, the honorable thing for Clinton would have been to resign. I argued for that in a Time magazine article as soon as he revealed that he had lied to the nation.[12] I knew, of course, that he wouldn’t. He had thrown himself off the highest cliff ever, and he had to prove he could catch a last-minute branch and pull himself, improbably, back up. And damned if he didn’t. He ended his time as president with high poll numbers and some new accomplishments, the greatest of the Kid’s comebacks�so great that I have been asked if I still feel he should have resigned. Well, I do. Why? Partly because what Ross Perot said in 1996 was partly true�that Clinton would be “totally occupied for the next two years in staying out of jail.” That meant he would probably go on lying. He tried for as long as possible to “mislead” the nation on Gennifer Flowers. He still claims that Paula Jones and Kathleen Willey made false charges. Perhaps they did, but he became unbelievable about personal behavior after lying about Flowers and Lewinsky. I at first disbelieved the story Paula Jones told because it seemed too bizarre; but the cigar-dildo described by Monica Lewinsky considerably extended the vistas of the bizarre.

Though Clinton accomplished things in his second term, he did so in a constant struggle to survive. Unlike the current president, his administration found in Sudan the presence of a weapon of mass destruction (the nerve gas precursor Empta) and bombed the place where it had existed�but many, including Senator Arlen Specter and the journalist Seymour Hersh, said that Clinton was just bombing another country to distract people from his scandal.[13] “That reaction,” according to Richard Clarke, “made it more difficult to get approval for follow-up attacks on al Quaeda.”[14] Even when Clinton was doing things, the appearance of his vulnerability made people doubt it. It was said in the Pentagon that he was afraid to seize terrorists because of his troubles; but Clarke rebuts those claims�he says that every proposal to seize a terrorist leader, whether it came from the CIA or the Pentagon, was approved by Clinton “during my tenure as CSG [Counterterrorism Security Group] chairman, from 1992 to 2001.”

We shall never know what was not done, or not successfully done, because of Clinton’s being politically crippled. He has been criticized for his insufficient response to the ethnic cleansing in Kosovo. Michael Walzer said of the bombing raids Clinton finally authorized that “our faith in airpower is…a kind of idolatry.”[15] But Clinton was limited in what he could do by the fact that the House of Representatives passed a resolution exactly the opposite of the war authorization that would be given George W. Bush�it voted to deny the President the power to commit troops. Walzer says that Clinton should have prodded the UN to take action; but a Republican Congress was not going to follow a man it distrusted when he called on an institution it distrusted.

At the very end of Clinton’s regime, did Arafat feel he was not strong enough in his own country to pressure him into the reasonable agreement Clinton had worked out and Ehud Barak had accepted? Clinton suggests as much when he says that Arafat called him a great man, and he had to reply: “I am not a great man. I am a failure, and you have made me one.”

Clinton had a wise foreign policy. But in an Oval Office interview, shortly before he admitte lying to the nation, he admitted that he had not been able to make it clear to the American people His vision had so little hold upon the public that Bush was able to discard it instantly when he cam in. Clinton summed up the difference between his and Bush’s approach for Charlie Rose by sayin that the latter thinks we should “do what we want whenever we can, and then we cooperate whe we have to,” whereas his policy was that “we were cooperating whenever we could and we acte alone only when we had to.” The Bush people are learning the difference between the two policies a their pre-emptive unilateralism fails

Clinton claims that he was not hampered in his political activity by scandals. He even said, to Charlie Rose, that “I probably was more attentive to my work for several months just because I didn’t want to tend to anything else.” That is improbable a priori and it conflicts with what he told Dan Rather about the atmosphere caused by the scandal: “The moment was so crazy. It was a zoo. It was an unr�it was �it was like living in a madhouse.” Even if he were not distracted, the press and the nation were. His staff was demoralized. The Democrats on the Hill were defensive, doubtful, absorbed in either defending Clinton or deflecting criticism from themselves. His freedom to make policy was hobbled.

Clinton likes to talk now of his “legacy.” That legacy should include partial responsibility for the disabling of the Democratic Party. There were things to be said against the Democratic Leadership Council (Mario Cuomo said them well) and the “triangulation” scheme of Dick Morris, by which Clinton would take positions to the right of most congressional Democrats and to the left of the Republican Party. But Clinton, as a Southerner, knew that the party had to expand its base back into sources of support eroded by the New Right. This was a defensible (in fact a shrewd) strategy as Clinton originally shaped it. He could have made it a tactical adjunct to important strategic goals. But after the scandals, all his maneuvering looked desperate�a swerving away from blows, a flurried scrambling to find solid footing. His very success made Democrats think their only path to success was to concede, cajole, and pander. Al Gore began his 2000 campaign unhappy about his association with Clinton but trying to outpander him when he opposed the return of the Cuban boy Eli�n Gonzalez to his father. There is a kind of rude justice to the fact that the election was stolen from Gore in the state where he truckled to the Cubans.

Clinton bequeathed to his party not a clear call to high goals but an omnidirectional proneness to pusillanimity and collapse. This was signaled at the very outset of the new presidency. The Democrats, still in control of the Senate, facing a president not even strong enough to win the popular vote, a man brought into office by linked chicaneries and chance (Kathleen Harris, Ralph Nader, Antonin Scalia), nonetheless helped to confirm John Ashcroft as attorney general. The senators knew Ashcroft well; they were surely not impressed by his acumen or wisdom.

A whole series of capitulations followed. While still holding a majority in the Senate, the Democrats did not use subpoenas and investigative powers to challenge Dick Cheney’s secret drafting of energy policy with Enron and other companies. A portion of the Democrats would support the welfare-to-billionaires tax cut. They fairly stampeded to support the Patriot Act and the presidential war authorization �with John Kerry, John Edwards, and Hillary Clinton at the front of the pack. The party had become so neutered that Al From and others from the Democratic Leadership Council called Howard Dean an extremist for daring to say what everyone is now saying about the war with Iraq�that it was precipitate, overhyped, and underprepared, more likely to separate us from the friends needed to fight terrorists than to end terrorism.

What would have happened had Clinton resigned? Gore would have been given “honeymoon” in which he could have played with a stronger hand all the initiatives Clinton ha begun, unashamed of them and able to bring them fresh energy. That is what happened whe Lyndon Johnson succeeded John Kennedy. Clinton himself may have reaped a redeemin admiration for what he had sacrificed to recover his honor. Before him would have lain all th opportunities he has now, and more. Hillary Clinton’s support of him in this act of real contritio would have looked nobler. Clinton’s followers were claiming that it was all and only about sex Clinton could have said, “Since that is what it is about, I’ll step aside so more important things ca be addressed.” All the other phony issues Starr had raised would have fallen of their ow insubstantiality

Of course, this is just one of many what-ifs about the Clinton presidency. By chance I saw a revival of Leonard Bernstein’s musical Wonderful Town, just before getting my copy of the Clinton book. All through the 957 pages of it, a song from the show kept running through my head: “What a waste! What a waste!”

Gary Wills writing in the New York Review of Books on Bill Clinton’s biography

Crazy!

Or, as a recent Weekly Standard article put it, his slogan should be “Crazy Times Demand a Crazy Senator”:

The new Illinois Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate, Maryland activist Alan Keyes, may be most famous for his most liberal act: jumping into a mosh pit while Rage Against the Machine performed, body-surfing the crowd, and exchanging body slams with a spiky-haired teen as a means of getting filmmaker Michael Moore’s endorsement for president in 2000. As Moore put it, “We knew Alan Keyes was insane. We just didn’t know how insane until that moment.”

Keyes has an apocalyptic view of America’s future unless it repents: “I do stay up at night thinking about what’s going to happen to America. I do stay up at night with a vision of our people in conflict, of our cities in flames, of our economy in ruins.”

– John K. Wilson, formerly notorious within the narrow confines of Hyde Park for his beard, in the Illinois Times

Canadian nice

“Mr. Martin [Liberal party leader] has tried to raise fears in his [negative] advertising campaign that Mr. Harper [Conservative party leader] has ‘a secret agenda’ to move the country far to the right. In one commercial, a female narrator warns that Mr. Harper would have sent troops to Iraq, and that he would resurrect a divisive abortion debate, weaken gun control and reverse Canada’s signing of the Kyoto climate control accord.”

Nowhere in the US, except perhaps the Bay Area, could anyone get away with such advertising.

Shocking polls!

No, not Bush’s record low approval ratings, but this tidbit: “Forty-six percent of Pakistanis approve of anti-American suicide bombings (we’re almost as unpopular there as Israel is; just 47 percent approve of attacks on the Jewish state) and only 36 percent disapprove… In the two Arab countries surveyed, absolute majorities — 74 percent in Morocco and 86 percent in Jordan — approve of attacks.

“Not coincidentally, majorities in all four Muslim countries believe that Iraqis will be worse off in post-Hussein Iraq, that the United States does not truly want to promote democracy, and that the war on terrorism is insincere. If we’re so insincere, what do they think the war on terror is really about? Majorities believe we want ‘to control Mideast oil’ and ‘to dominate the world.'” Yglesias in the Prospect

Sure, worldwide antipathy towards the US soared as Bush began his campaign of belligerence. However, the big difference between merely disliking the US and applauding its attack has been crossed for many in the Arab world. At this rate, how on earth can anyone claim that “we are winning the war on terrorism”?

Last night’s landslide

The wholly unpredicted landslide for Barack Obama last night was, needless to say, completely exhilirating on the face of it. Even more exciting, though, are the detailed returns. 40 of 50 wards voted for Obama, some by over 90%. The Obama campaign did an amazing job turnout on the south side, with over 15,000 voters going to the polls in many wards — as befits someone whose start in Chicago politics was in registering 100,000 voters.

The election also demonstrates Cook County’s continued ability to dominate the state Democratic party — some 80% of Obama’s votes statewide were from Cook. Obama’s ability to carry the suburbs and exurbs added most of the rest of that margin. (Interestingly, half of Lake County’s primary votes were Democratic–perhaps indicative of the Democratic trend there. Sprawlburb southwest DuPage and Will may remain staunchly Republican, but slow-growth Lake looks to be following the Democratic trend familiar to most mature suburbs.)

Voter turnout in north lakefront wards was middling, but unfortunately turnout suffered somewhat in West Town-Logan Square wards — about 5,000 votes total in the 1st, 32nd, and 35th wards. This was despite some notable campaign activity and events in the area. Organizing alienated, apathetic (even if sympathetic) people in high-churn, gentrifying (and thus highly disorganized) neighborhoods is a challenge I’ve yet to fully wrap my head around. But if we can do it, we’ve got a great shot in November.

The parties are different

A pre-emptive defense of the Democratic party, in light of Ralph Nader’s latest run for president:

If Al Gore were president, the Kyoto Protocol would likely be in force right now. Gore negotiated it on behalf of the US, and Russia was moving towards signing it (and thus activating it and making it legally binding) UNTIL the Bush folks leaned on them to not sign it.

As it stands, though, the world has still not implemented any meaningful action against climate change. Meanwhile, ice shelves are melting, coral reefs are dying, seas are rising, and the hope of stopping massive shift in the earth’s climate within this century is rapidly receding into the distance.

Similarly, many other Clinton-era environmental initiatives that the Bush administration has attacked — protecting roadless areas in national forests, reducing pollution from old coal power plants (I live within five miles of two of ’em), protecting the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge from oil drilling, etc. — would not be under attack if Gore were president.

I used to work in affordable housing finance, another field in which the administration has great discretion in setting targets and priorities. (Also, most affordable housing money in the US comes from the feds, not from state or local government.) The repeated cuts to various crucial programs — HOPE VI public housing redevelopment and Section 8 come to mind immediately — have seriously impacted the ability of cities like mine to help the least fortunate. Indeed, the Bush administration has broken twenty years of bipartisan agreement and slashed funding for Section 8 vouchers, leaving tens or hundreds of thousands of families and seniors without any way to pay the rent.

In all of these instances, the policies I’ve mentioned are led and implemented by the administration with little input from Congress (besides budgetary review), so Republicans controlling Congress would have little impact on how a Democratic president would have done things. Further, Bush has already announced plans for policies that merely await approval from a Republican Congress — e.g., his proposals to block-grant Medicaid and Section 8 and to change TANF, thereby allowing states to cut into already the already weak social safety net, or further tax code tweaking that will *permanently exempt* the hereditary aristocracy (e.g., trust fund babes like Jenna and Babs Jr.) from ANY income tax on their unearned inheritances and investments (thereby shifting the entire tax burden to us working stiffs), or the hundreds of billions of dollars in social spending, from LIHEAP to food stamps to public housing to veterans’ benefits, that are right now being axed out of the budget to pay for rescinding taxes on millionaires:


Courtesy Center on Budget & Policy Priorities

There ARE major differences between the two parties. ALL of these measures have been actively opposed and voted against by the Democratic minority (most of it, at least). These differences may not be as immediately obvious as many would like, but they are there, and they DO affect the world we live in. That’s why it’s so important to elect Anyone But Bush in 2004, and to not get distracted by sideshows like Ralph Nader. The notion that “the left could use a cold shower” is ridiculously self-absorbed in light of the very real pain that Bush and his cronies have already inflicted on America.

The Greens sometimes find ways to work within the political system for genuine change, often at the local level. Most of the Greens’ political work in the US, though, has been useless grandstanding, and it seems that every day the Greens find ways to become ever more useless through infighting. In order to gain political traction, the Greens must find ways to energize, not antagonize, their allies, with thoughtful, idealistic candidates and positions.

Bush trailing badly in Illinois

A new poll from the Tribune indicates that Bush’s mediocre approval rating among Illinoisans has sunk with remarkable speed. Hopefully, this will dissuade the GOP from investing resources into a state that, thanks to Democratic consolidation in multiethnic Cook County, is rapidly trending Democratic.

For the first time in his presidency, there are more Illinois voters of all political stripes who disapprove than approve of the job Bush is doing, and more than half don’t want to see him elected to a second term, according to the poll.

The survey not only found widespread voter dissatisfaction with the president over the economy and jobs, but more than four in 10 Illinois voters said they believed the Bush administration purposely misled the public about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq as he led the nation to war.

If the election were held today, Kerry would be backed by 52 percent of the state’s voters while Bush would get 38 percent, the poll showed. Another 10 percent were undecided and 1 percent opted for another candidate.

That 14 percentage-point advantage for Kerry compares to the 2000 election result in Illinois in which then-Vice President Al Gore received 55 percent of the vote, compared with 43 percent for Bush.

The survey results among general-election voters show them to be polarized heavily along partisan lines.

With 92 percent of voters who called themselves Democrats backing Kerry and 86 percent of those who identified themselves as Republicans supporting Bush, there appears little opportunity for either side to pick off crossover votes.

In addition, independents are almost evenly split between the two men.

The survey found Bush trailing heavily in the Democratic enclaves of Chicago and suburban Cook County and leading only slightly in the traditionally Republican-leaning collar counties.

Downstate voters were almost equally divided.

The poll also showed signs of a gender-gap problem for Bush. Male voters were divided between Kerry and Bush, but Kerry held a 24-percentage-point advantage among women. White suburban women, the so-called “soccer mom” demographic, favor Kerry over Bush only slightly, 44 percent to 40 percent.