Greenspan leaves DC, backs “elegant” gas tax

Daniel Gross reported in the Times recently that Alan Greenspan, freed from having to tell his Washington masters what they wanted to hear (whoever thought that he was the supreme overlord?) has shown the true colors of a good economist and come out as a geo-green:

Mr. Greenspan was hardly a proponent of raising taxes on energy to encourage conservation, a policy prescription generally associated with the politicians and economists of the left.

Until now. In late September, as he spoke to a group of business executives in Massachusetts, a question was posed as to whether he’d like to see an increase in the federal gasoline tax, which has stood at 18.4 cents a gallon since 1993. “Yes, I would,” Mr. Greenspan responded with atypical clarity. “That’s the way to get consumption down. It’s a national security issue.”

Gross also mentions that N. Gregory Mankiw, the guy who as a Bush economics advisor squirmed while Bush ads attacked Kerry for wanting to raise gas taxes, keeps a Pigou Club list of economists who’ve come out in favor of Pigouvian taxes. Of course, no sitting politicians in a position to do such a thing are on that list. Oh well.

Of course, the Pigouvian tax that’s perhaps even more elegant (when combined, perhaps, with a vehicle weight tax, payable at annual registration or emissions check) is a property tax on parking spaces, or effectively a tax on car trips. Such a tax does a better job at discouraging short car trips (the most environmentally destructive and the easiest to divert to other modes) than even a straight VMT tax, and since the evidence is rather hard to hide, it can be levied with some ease.

Such a tax (the first I’ve heard of) was recently implemented, in fact, by Vancouver’s comprehensive transportation authority [manages both roads and transit] over fierce opposition from some businesses. (A nice policy summary of the tax. Note: “strata” is a B.C. legal term comparable to “condominium.”) Apparently, upon further research, such taxes were proposed but not implemented in Montgomery County (sec. II-3) in 1990 and for metropolitan DC in 2002 — although making it as far as the County Executive (i.e., mayor) in Montgomery.

The Vancouver opponents charge that it’s more properly “a pavement tax”, which might make even more sense: a clear nexus emerges with regard to stormwater, and the tax levy could be calculated just by plugging aerial photos into a computer.

Megamansions in Lincoln Park

Today’s Trib has a cover package about the megamansions sprouting in Lincoln Park, roughly in the area between Old Town Triangle and Armitage & Halsted. I first noticed them this spring, when I detoured off Willow (a very pleasant east-west alternative to North) to check out a zoning variance sign. Rows of monster houses shoehorned onto standard city lots, many with hideous snout-house front-loaded garages, hiding in plain sight of two key historic districts. Why? Susan Chandler has the lowdown:

At first glance, it’s hard to see why Chicago’s most wealthy people have chosen this formerly nondescript area as their new enclave. It doesn’t have a lake view. It isn’t even that close to the lake. The houses were rundown. Many on Burling and Orchard were basically storefronts. But these drawbacks actually are what made the area a magnet for new development.

“Burling and Orchard had a bunch of stuff that was knock-down ready,” says Jay Metzler, a co-founder of Metzler/Hull Development Corp., a high-end builder that started building $1 million houses in Lincoln Park in the early 1990s.

Metzler/Hull built its first urban mansion home on Burling about 10 years ago. The widespread absence of alleys in the area was a positive, from the firm’s point of view.

“You could get these deep lots. You didn’t fill up the back of our lot with a 21-ft. garage. Your back yards became 40 to 50 feet deep. For Metzler/Hull, it was a business decision to offer something very unique: a house in the city with a nice big yard.”

Chicago’s arcane and archaic zoning system aided this kind of development. Burling and Orchard were zoned R5 under the old zoning code formulated in the 1950s. The “R” stands for residential and the 5 means that developers and builders could erect 2.2 square feet of structure for every 1 square foot of land, more than double what was allowed under the R3 rating of most of Chicago’s bungalow belt.

The R5 rating allowed a mix of three-flats and small apartment houses to grow up alongside single-family houses, generating more concentrated pockets of residents. It also was an invitation to teardowns, explains Joseph Schwieterman, a zoning expert at DePaul University and co-author of “The Politics of Place.” “The R5 districts were ravaged by new construction in the ’60s, ’70s and ’80s. In areas dominated by mansions and stately apartment buildings, you saw enormous demolition for much denser forms of development. Along the lakefront, the ambience was really lost,” says Schwieterman.

Unlike many suburbs, where teardowns are regulated, Chicago allows owners to combine lots and raze houses without zoning approval. The serial teardowns that hit Orchard and Burling also were helped by the fact that the homes weren’t protected by landmark designations and were cheaper than those a few streets over.

So, to review: it’s an overzoned little slice of “nice neighborhood, bad houses” right between two landmark districts. I repeat: this new Billionaires’ Row exists solely due to zoning. Gotcha.

Blair Kamin, in the sidebar, goes on the offensive:

I have no problem going after the mega-mansions that have invaded Burling, Orchard and Howe Streets south of Armitage Avenue. They’re not purely personal matters, like most houses. They’re turning what was a vibrant urban neighborhood into a collection of bloated, physically isolated, suburban-style manses…

[S]ome of the worst offenders on these streets are single-lot houses whose owners have draped them in all manner of frou-frou-columns, pilasters, balusters, even fake flickering gaslights-only to destroy their attempt at elegance with sunken garages reached via a curb cut and a steeply-sloped front driveway.

Yet warped style is just the beginning of what’s wrong here. The real damage these buildings do is to the public realm of the sidewalk and street. That’s where neighbor meets neighbor and neighborhoods really form, a fast-disappearing attitude… those sloping driveways, which, unlike the effect at Condron’s place, rid the street of the civilized buffer zones between the house and the sidewalk and substitute the equivalent of concrete moats. Not only are the driveways eyesores, they cut off the house from its surroundings. If you want to come over to borrow a cup of sugar, be sure to have the guard lower the drawbridge….

Many of these homeowners, it appears, contemplated living in Lake Forest, but couldn’t stand the hour-long commute. So they stuffed a suburban manse into the city.

As a result, the neighborhood feels crammed to the gills instead of offering true luxury, which is about the luxury of space as well as the luxury of size. How strange-and sad-that so many could spend so much and in doing so, still cheapen the public realm.

We all like road pricing

Bacon’s Rebellion notes that the wonky topic of road pricing has become a somewhat fashionable topic in Richmond. Even more wonkily, the article notes that congestion pricing actually attacks congestion, unlike the indirect approach of adding new capacity, and mentions the not-well understood notion that removing a few cars at peak hours could have a big impact on total congestion.

Says [Chris Saxman,] the Staunton businessman and [Republican] representative to the House of Delegates: “Stockholm can do it — and Sweden’s a socialist country!”

Even more interestingly, the feds are leading the charge:

Tyler Duvall, the deputy assistant secretary who oversees that initiative for the U.S. Department of Transportation, is an evangelist for congestion pricing. There is a disconnect, Duvall observed during a November 2005 forum on road pricing and travel demand modeling, between transportation agencies and roadway users… “Pricing can be a good way to take decisions on transportation investment out of the political realm and into the hands of the travelers, who ‘vote’ with their willingness to pay… Subsidizing the cost of travel allows road users to travel farther and more often, making the cost of living far away from one’s job artificially low and discouraging dense land use.”

The Department of Transportation has made it a high priority to establish a congestion-pricing demonstration project that combines the “four ‘t’s”: tolls in a variable pricing scheme, transit, as an alternative to cars, telecommuting/flex schedules, and technology in the form of expanded, real-time traffic information.

Hey, evil Bushies: how about picking me? Corridors like the Kennedy and Dan Ryan already integrate the necessary physical (barrier separated lanes), transit (parallel commuter and urban rail lines), tolling (EZ-Pass), and IT infrastructure. A formal flex schedule program (a la Flex in the City in Houston) hasn’t been established, but that’s not a problem.

Mayor compares cars to guns

Gary Washburn reports on another mayoral press conference, this time about the lawsuit filed over red-light cameras:

bq. “If someone gives a gun to a 17-year-old and says, ‘Here’s my gun. You can play with it,’ it’s called responsibility,” the mayor said. “You have a responsibility for that car. If that car got into an accident, they would sue you.”

The architecture of branch banking (or lack thereof)

Came across a 2004 article in the “Chicago Fed Letter”:http://www.chicagofed.org/publications/fedletter/cflapril2004_201.pdf (pdf, by Robert DeYoung and Thomas H. Klier) about bank headquarters — written in the aftermath of Bank One’s takeover by Morgan Chase, it notes that bank headquarters (unlike HQs in general) almost always end up in the larger of the two headquarters cities. Illinois’ silly branch-banking laws have put Chicago at a disadvantage in this regard, as Chicago entered the deregulated banking era with many smaller banks (i.e., prey) rather than a few strong banks (i.e., predators).

bq. Today the largest U.S. banks are located in international banking centers, such as New York or San Francisco, where agglomeration economies are strong and high demand for financial services has allowed even purely local banks to grow large, or in states like California and North Carolina where geographic regulations have historically been less restrictive. For example, California has never prevented its banks from branching freely within its very expansive borders, and North Carolina began permitting (by interstate agreement) its banks to operate affiliates virtually anywhere in the southeastern U.S. over a decade before Riegle-Neal. In contrast, Illinois’s strict unit banking laws placed an effective upper bound on the size that Chicago hanks could attain-hence, when nationwide banking became legal in the mid-1990s, Chicago banks were at a disadvantage because they lacked the critical mass and experience to participate fully in the wave of acquisitions that followed.

The lack of branch banks in Chicago left an odd architectural legacy: a few leviathan banking halls downtown (notably the First Chicago headquarters, where the retail bank has recently been downsized quite considerably to a fraction of the first floor) and a great many opulent bank headquarters in the neighborhoods — Uptown Bank (now Bridgeview), Hyde Park Bank, Noel State Bank (now Midwest). Many of these neighborhood palaces match the finest downtown banks elsewhere in grandeur.

Another prototype on its way

Wild Oats brought People’s Market to Evanston, Supervalu just premiered Sunflower in Lincoln Park; Chicago’s underserved natural foods segment seems to be quite popular with small-city companies looking to test new concepts in the big city.

H. Lee Murphy at Crain’s Chicago Business reports:

bq. Roundy’s Inc. of Milwaukee, which operates 143 supermarkets in Wisconsin, plans to bring an upscale grocery concept called Metro Market to Chicago next year, sources say. “We’re in a growth mode and looking to expand,” a Roundy’s spokeswoman says.

Metro Market’s one 53,000 square foot location is on the east side (near north?) of Milwaukee. I stopped by (wholly incidentally) last year and don’t remember anything in particular; the press release description sounds promising but still quite Wisconsin specific (a dozen varieties of sausage made on the premises daily, adult-sized cupcakes, pierogies and a Friday fish fry with rye bread). Interestingly, Bob Mariano, current CEO of Roundy’s, was head of Dominick’s before its sale to Safeway.

Supervalu describes Sunflower as “efficient” and “convenient”; one of its most promising features is is compact footprint: 8-12,000 SKUs in 12-15,000 square feet.

Vancouver in the spotlight

Downtown Vancouver made the covers of _Governing_ and _Urban Land_ in July, not long after CNU gave a Charter Award to Larry Beasley in recognition of the 1991 Living First plan. Indeed, Alan Ehrenhalt writes in his Governing piece:

bq. If one event can be said to mark the beginning of the downtown revival that is moving across North America, it is the rezoning in Vancouver.

Since the new downtown residents pay high taxes and cost little to service municipally — they rarely have children and have private services like health clubs that relieve the strain on parks, libraries, etc. — their fiscal impact has been mostly positive to date. However, _Governing_ zooms in on the city’s looming shortage of commercial land, raising the specter that the city will become merely a resort town.

Personally, I think such fears are a bit overblown: the condo wave, like all others, will eventually pass; Vancouver’s east side is both adequately transit served and has plentiful vacant industrial land for expansion; and opportunities for further densification do exist on the downtown peninsula, perhaps by refilling low-rise areas with mid-rises or inserting taller point towers on sites identified for high-rises. Current mayor Sam Sullivan has launched “the Vancouver EcoDensity Initiative”:http://www.mayorsamsullivan.ca/ecodensity/ecodensity03.html in an attempt to get a conversation going about further densification (framing such as the path to a more sustainable city); many looking at the new downtown overlook the fact that upzoning downtown was part of a grand 1980s political tradeoff that also resulted in downzoning most of the city’s single-family residential neighborhoods.

However, part of the goal of planning is to balance future needs against current opportunities, and given Vancouver’s global desirability, it needs to ensure that future economic development has a place in the city. Similarly, I wonder whether new residential development in the very near West Loop is a good thing, given that the area may be better suited to offices.

More broadly, what are all these jobs being created out in the suburbs and why do they do go there? Holding the commute constant, many employees (especially younger ones) prefer the convenience and choice that a downtown location bring — and those concentrations of human capital (particularly as certain dense cities pull well ahead in education) should result in “Jane Jacobs externalities” of innovation and creative destruction. Trophy towers in the CBD may not appeal to the next generation of job creators, but not all urban spaces are that fussy and expensive. What kinds of buildings (and neighborhoods and regulations and ideas) _should_ planners and developers be concocting to house today’s entrepreneurs? During the dot-com boom, the obvious answer was the lofty flex space or maybe the biotech lab (as seen in office parks in Palo Alto and around MIT’s campus alike), but those were extenuating circumstances. Yet today, many of the surviving technology giants (Microsoft, Apple, Google, Sun) have large suburban corporate campuses, while others (like Adobe, in San Jose, San Francisco, and Seattle) fit into urban towers.

An even bigger question: how can cities foster organic, entrepreneurial economic development within neighborhoods? After all, small businesses create more jobs than big ones, but only big business is capable of snagging big tax breaks in the name of “job retention.” The “Center for an Urban Future”:http://www.nycfuture.org/content/policy_areas/policy.cfm?area=ecopol consistently advocates such an approach (“a five borough economic development plan”) in place of corporate subsidies in NYC; closer to home, it’s interesting to see how the public-private “Midtown Community Works Partnership”:http://www.midtowncommunityworks.org uses microfinance, cooperative marketing, local hiring agreements, infrastructure investments (like an enclosed public market, light rail, and a rail-to-trail), and public finance (much through EZ grants) to help start and sustain small businesses.

Continue reading

Houses no better than condos

bq. “A lot of times these buildings are replaced with multi-unit buildings that are limited in space,” said Ward Miller, president of Logan Square Preservation. “Couples move in, find themselves running short on space and within a short period of time, leave. We’re looking for long-term stakeholders.” (quoted by Johnathon E. Briggs in Chicago Tribune

I know Ward and have long supported his efforts to preserve key buildings and areas within Logan Square, but this notion — that those who live in single-family buildings (vs. condo owners) or owners (vs. renters), stay in the neighborhood longer, are more invested in the community, and thus are more deserving — is a myth, plain and simple. Oddly, the wealthy north-side neighborhoods with higher rates of homeownership also have much higher rates of transience; in Bucktown, the millionaires in the single-family houses are not necessarily in for the long run and most definitely do not have the time to spare to get involved with the community. Heck, they don’t even add “eyes on the street,” as they just drive in and out, hiring others to deliver their pizzas and walk their dogs. I’d hazard that a high-rise housing low-income seniors would bring in many more involved community residents than an entire block of million-dollar McMansions.

Hastert and l’affaire Foley

The best summation I could find of l’affaire Foley, from an anonymous poster to the St. Pete Times’ Buzz blog: “Republican Leadership appoints pedophile to lead caucus on exploited children”

Okay, Foley’s closet door has been ajar for a while, and after “Jim West”:http://www.spokesmanreview.com/jimwest we expect nothing less than weirdly inhibited pederastic cybersex from any single, male Republican elected official of a certain age. What’s shocking here is not the crime, but the coverup: the GOP leadership was confronted with this a year ago and yet believed his denials, right up until ABC News forced Foley’s hand.

In any case, the transcripts are mildly amusing, but “the video”:http://www.wonkette.com/politics/mark-foley/foley-on-abc-204362.php is hilarious.

Wilmette considers feebate

Dan Gibbard reports in the Tribune that Wilmette is considering a car-registration fee hike — to repay bonds for street reconstruction — balanced by a cut in fees for more environmentally friendly cars. It’s a rather clunky version of a feebate, which ideally would be tied instead to the weight of the car (providing a clear nexus: bigger cars cause more wear and tear on the newly rebuilt roads), but still the opposition to this is silly. Really, guys, would a $25 tax increase bankrupt many families in Wilmette, where the median income stands at a cool $106,773?