justifying transit “subsidies”

Dennis Byrne recently published an opinion piece in the Trib asking why taxpayers pay half of transit’s costs (but not half of drivers’ costs), and thus saying that fare increases are in order. Here’s a really long reply.

In the course of writing this, I found that Sweden’s carbon tax amounts to $1.61 per gallon of gas — far higher than the ~$0.49 in tax per gallon levied in Chicago (ostensibly to pay for roads). And now that I look at it, I should’ve used the “free rider” term to describe positive externalities — and used the example of how non-drivers subsidize parking at supermarkets, since the store just wouldn’t exist without those other customers. Oh well. A few more edits are in [brackets].


Simply looking at the line item figures for transit and driving does not provide an adequate accounting of the costs that we, as a society, will end up paying.

All economic actions have “externalities,” which are costs or benefits that are outside the direct transaction. For instance, let’s say that I run a paper mill next door to your house, and dump the sludge into a stream that runs downhill into your yard. The noise, smell, and sludge don’t bother me [or my customers], since I profit, but they will cost you dearly.

It turns out that driving is an activity which has low internal costs (once you own a car, gas is practically the only marginal cost) and very high external costs — whereas transit has high internal costs [principally labor] but even higher external benefits. Even worse for transit, its external benefits are very widely diffused, while driving directly and obviously benefits the driver.

For example, direct proximity to transit typically improves property values much more so than access to a road; this is especially the case in downtown Chicago, and you could even say that access to railroads is what built Chicago in the first place. Yet all that property value created by the railroads largely did not accrue to the railroads — it benefited third parties. Similarly, properties in the Loop (which generate untold billions in property, sales, income, payroll, and other taxes) wouldn’t be generating nearly as much economic activity in the absence of transit; after all, that’s how half the people get there. In fact, that’s why most of America’s streetcars were built by property speculators, and why the world’s only profitable subway system (in Hong Kong) is a subsidiary of a huge property corporation.

In the past, Dennis, you’ve doubted whether downtown Chicago is an anachronism. I’ll tell you that it’s not. Even as old face-to-face standbys like the trading pits disappear, industries remain concentrated downtown due to what are called “agglomeration economies.” More than half of the region’s office space is downtown, and that proportion is actually increasing — as it is in Washington and New York City, the nation’s two other “fortress downtowns.” More importantly, offices rent for 30% more downtown, and apparently firms think it’s worth the premium. In fact, transit is the big reason behind that: three-fourths of downtown executives surveyed in 2002 cited access to transit (and, more importantly, the huge labor pool it moves) as the biggest factor in their location.

Like participation in the arts, use of parks, or attendance at public schools, transit is a public service that all of us benefit from even if we do not consume the service. In particular, transit makes the compact urban form of downtown and of many neighborhoods possible — you could not re-create a great walking neighborhood like Lakeview or Wicker Park with adequate parking for every visitor, since the parking lots would push everything out of walking distance. Without transit, and without the compact urban form that transit generates (both downtown and in the neighborhoods), Chicago really has little to recommend it over Atlanta or Indianapolis or Phoenix. I don’t even usually commute by transit, but I appreciate that the endlessly fascinating city that’s right at my doorstep is made possible by transit. In LA, where my family lives, there are also two baseball teams, an opera house, and great restaurants — but they might as well not exist, since it takes hours of hand-to-hand combat on the freeways to get to any of them. That’s not so in Chicago, thanks to transit.

On the other hand, driving is an activity that benefits pretty much only the driver while imposing considerable costs on the rest of society. Every additional car on the road costs every car behind it time, and that adds up. Surely, as a transportation reporter, you’ve heard of the Texas Transportation Institute’s annual Urban Mobility Report. Well, those guys calculate that transit in the Chicago region saves every single rush-hour driver 22 hours of traffic jams a year — that’s time worth nearly $1.6 billion a year, just in productivity savings to rush-hour drivers! (As you might know, that figure is nearly twice the RTA’s annual taxpayer subsidy.)

Others have attempted to calculate the full external costs of driving to Americans, and to the Chicago region in particular. (Cars impose higher external costs in cities than in the countryside.) A 1995 study looking just at the rather direct fiscal costs of roads to local governments found that Chicago-area governments spent one-third more on roads than they received in taxes and fees from road users. A number of studies have attempted to quantify a number of fuzzier costs to the public purse, like health care (to treat crash victims or asthma sufferers like me), securing oil supplies from the Middle East and elsewhere, and environmental degradation (half of all tailpipe emissions worldwide come from American cars). Six different studies from the 1990s — before, I might note, we had a set price for carbon dioxide [and before our recent Iraq escapade!] — estimate that each car costs society anywhere from $2,000 to $5,000 a year, over and above what the owner pays to operate it. On a per-gallon basis, those estimates range from $3 to $7 per gallon in social costs. So yes, in fact, we taxpayers do“pay half a motorist’s costs when he drives to work or goes shopping.”

So, there you go: one economic argument for why we “subsidize transit.”

Oh yeah, and NYC Transit and Metrorail cover more of their costs from the farebox because their boundaries are more tightly drawn — neither of them operate money-losing suburban buses.

Announcing Wicker Park Critical Mass

Dear Chicago,

Many massers don’t realize that the first of the 118 Daley Plaza Critical Masses took place on 5 September 1997 — the FIRST Friday of that month.* After that first Daley Plaza mass, the ride quickly switched to the last Friday so as to coincide with other masses around the world.

To celebrate the actual 10th anniversary of the CCM ride, a group of massers will launch a Wicker Park Critical Mass ride, beginning on 7 September 2007 at 6pm. We’ll meet at the Polish Triangle (Division, Milwaukee, & Ashland), within blocks of where the first Daley Plaza ride ended up ten years ago.

Jim Redd, one of the founders of the Daley Plaza ride and now operator of an inn in Ecuador, has agreed to return to Chicago to help launch the Wicker Park CM and celebrate the actual 10th Anniversary of the Daley Plaza rides.

The Wicker Park mass, like other rides worldwide, will celebrate my neighborhood’s diverse and unique character. Jim will propose a “Taking Art to the Streets” route, with the final destination set for a big celebration at a local art gallery. Other local masses that ride on the first Friday (Evanston & Oak Park) are invited to join us as we bring another Critical Mass ride into the world.

As Sunday’s Sun-Times article asserts, it may never be possible to completely end the big downtown masses. However, just as the Taste of Chicago cannot capture the bonhomie of a simple block party, the elephantine Daley Plaza mass has become more crowd than community. Our increasing size now faces down the law of diminishing returns. Bicyclists citywide deserve better choices.

Over the years, neighborhoods throughout the city have welcomed and embraced Critical Mass — none more than Wicker Park — and I think Chicago’s ready to take this show on the road. Let’s show our own neighbors some Happy Friday love, while reclaiming the streets we know best. Ten years in the making, a renaissance — rebirth — of Chicago Critical Mass will create a citywide network of local, autonomous cycling communities. Humboldt Park residents have already started a local ride, and other neighborhoods will be joining Pilsen/Little Village, Oak Park, Evanston, and Wicker Park by launching their own rides.

This September, let a thousand points of bicycle light brighten the entire city! Join us at the real 10th Anniversary party: Friday, 7 September, at Division, Milwaukee, and Ashland.

Sincerely,

Payton



Hey, and while you’re waiting, Northwest Siders (and everyone else) can learn how to prepare for the decline and fall of summer (while savoring summer’s glorious fruits) at a free Bike Winter preview class:

Stay the Course: All-Season Cycling Made Simple
Sunday, August 19th, 12noon. FREE!
Logan Square Farmers Market, SE corner of Logan Blvd & Milwaukee Ave

Don’t banish your bike to the basement this fall. During this free workshop, winter cycling veterans will share Chicago’s best kept secret: with the proper equipment and a little determination, all-season cycling is no sweat!

More info at www.BikeWinter.org.

ragging on privatization

posted at Knowledge Problem: Wanted: Economic Analysis of Urban Rail Transportation (five months’ belated thanks to Derek for the heads-up; a follow-on to Funding Redux‘s diss on privatization)

Privatization [of CTA] would hardly be a panacea; one of two companies hired in a privatization of the London Underground recently entered receivership, and taxpayers could be held responsible for its tremendous cost overruns. Our local “traction kings” hardly fared better: Insull made his fortune from energy, not the “L”; Yerkes profited off subterfuge and subdivisions, not the streetcars. In fact, both used securities fraud to cover the steep losses they faced on transit operations, which is why both were run out of town on the rails.

Those men faced no real competition, as their empires predated today’s heavily subsidized and regulated freeways, parking, sprawl, etc. By the end of Insull’s reign, the railroad industry had become the most regulated public utility in American history, wearing far heavier regulatory yokes than those which the cable, phone, and electric companies “toil” under these days.

This little history lesson hardly disproves that contracting out operations might reduce costs — particularly when public bureaucracies have ossified and become unresponsive to change — but do use caution before bandying about “PPP” without understanding its ramifications. One could even look back at the same Yerkes/Insull history and draw the conclusion that urban transit is a natural monopoly (thus enabling free transfers, for instance) and inherently requires local government involvement, or one might draw the conclusion that Illinois politics vis-a-vis transit have forever been poisoned by collusion and power-broking at the public’s expense.

In any case, I have it on good authority that a great many MBA-diseased minds (not least Rob Huberman, Chicago GSB ’00 and Carole Brown, Northwestern KSM ’89) are being put to work on the CTA’s problems now. This may not have quite the results that we bargained for.

Bike share not news to City Hall

I discovered the old bids for the city’s 2002 street furniture RFP at the city’s website and skimmed over some of the info. On page 100 of Adshel (Clear Channel)’s proposal [giant scanned PDF] there’s this proposal. Note that this proposal was rejected (primarily, it would seem, because their bid provided the least cash revenue to the city), and that JCDecaux’s winning proposal included, among other things, a $500K annual contribution to those tourist trolleys. Again, Adshel did not win Chicago’s contract, but they did win D.C.’s, and so Smart Bikes will launch there this year. (I’ve written about European bike share schemes more generally before.) Retyped:

CYCLE CHICAGO… Adshel’s proven public bicycle fleet program, another value added amenity offering to the City…

This forward-looking Adshel innovation is known as “Plan Vélo” in the company’s programs across France, Norway and Sweden, but in now way should it be construed as a uniquely European phenomenon… Adshel’s Coordinated Street Furniture Program will supplement the [Mayor’s Bicycle Advisory] Council’s accomplishments… with an expandable system designed to minimize Loop grid crawl, called Cycle Chicago.

Cycle Chicago in Operation
Cycle Chicago will reduce traffic congestion and improve Loop air quality by introducing a vital new component to intermodal transit that provides an enjoyable alternative to short single occupancy vehicle trips. Cycle Chicago consists of 50 fully automated, attendant-free docking stations. 20 will be positions adjacent to subway, El, and Metra stations in the CBD, 20 located among office building concentrations in the Loop, and 10 distributed for more recreational use across the Museum Campus and lakeshore, a total of 750 bicycles.

Bike use is administered via credit card, debit card and smart card technology, smart cards vended in coordination with the CTA and RTA and through Adshel’s I+ Interactive Information Kiosks. A nominal fee is charged, typically $10/month for unlimited use, and an hourly rate of $1.50. We anticipate the program will be in full use from April 1 through October 31 each year. All costs associated with Adshel’s Cycle Chicago Program are borne by the company…

[operational details similar to existing systems]

Docking station capacity of 15 bicycles is maintained via perpetually circulating… redistribution trucks… In three years of operation… a total of two thefts have occurred. The bicycles are maintained in rotation in the Adshel repair shop and the entire fleet is warehoused by Adshel from November 1 through March 31… As further commitments to the success of biking in Chicago, Adshel will provide additional Cycle Chicago docking stations as requested by the City, up to six docking stations (90 bicycles) per year, contingent on thresholds of measured use and demand.

The total value quoted by the city’s auditor (Deloitte) is a suspiciously low $254,000 for all 50 — $338.67 per bicycle, including fixtures and installation? Nah.

Interestingly, page 228 shows a siting plan for bus shelters at Polish Triangle that also places… a vending kiosk along the Ashland side.

Mission Modern: a lovers’ tale




Mission Modern: a lovers’ tale Originally uploaded by paytonc

Another literary entry for Guess Where Chicago.

During the depths of the Depression, a dowager California mission fell in love with a common-brick Chicago loft — he was so sturdy, so young, so brash. Despite the difficulties inherent in a long-distance romance between buildings, they managed to consummate their love; shortly thereafter, she gave birth to this homely concoction, whom they pressed into service with the Church so as to mask the indignity of a non-virgin birth. (Buildings in this era preferred to have immaculate origins, untainted by lineage.) Hint: the child predates large-scale Mexican immigration to Chicago.

Virtually attend MPC lunches

Video is now available for two recent MPC panels, courtesy of CAN-TV. No pre-registration and no insipid Corner Bakery box lunches. (They were much better when they had fresh chips.)

Fred Kent from the Project on Public Spaces, on Streets as Places, with a response by CDOT’s interim commissioner and Tom Samuels from the 48th Ward office. This was pretty good, but the local response paled in response to Kent’s inspiring (if generic — I’d heard it all before) call to action.

Parking 101, a panel discussion on district managing parking and update on the Parking Benefit District concept as it moves towards reality in Chicago. Haven’t yet had a chance to view this, but it got good reviews.

Localism

Two local links for today:
* Crain’s has a new Market Facts 2007 online. The interactive skyline view is particularly intriguing.
* Chicago Magazine posted its depressing “How Bucktown Got Boutiqued” timeline (written by Rebecca Little). Since it was published, BCBG signed for the space next to Marc Jacobs. At least they’re not displacing any other retail shops — the space is in a loft which had an elevated first floor, now lowered to ground level in a pretty tasteful way.

The SSA received an encouraging response to its planning RFP, so we might have some good ideas on how to fight back against the chain invasion soon.

Funding redux

Modified version of Chicagoist comment.

I realize that I’m shouting to the breeze, but man, most of you folks don’t know much about how we pay for transit. Some common themes, and answers:

What? Why do we already pay too much for awful service?

Your fares pay about half the cost of running CTA service. Taxpayers (local sales tax) cover the rest. And the fact is, the cost of operations is increasing three times faster than tax revenue. When your cost of living goes up while your salary stays flat, you gotta make cuts.

Yeah, the trains and buses and slow, unreliable, and dirty. You know why? Because every year that we’ve played this budget crisis game, CTA has ended up spending money allocated for cleaning/repairs on daily operations instead. Basic maintenance has been put off for years, and it’s starting to show, big time.

The trains elsewhere are great, and they make money!

No mass transit agency in the world makes sufficient profit on operations to cover the cost of capital improvements. Those glorious transit systems elsewhere rely on generous tax subsidies: the Parisian transit authority gets FIVE TIMES more in tax subsidies than its equivalent here. Pick up the papers in NYC, LA, SF, DC, Boston, Philly, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Cleveland, Columbus, Atlanta, wherever: those transit agencies are also running out of money. Perhaps not as fast as ours, but nonetheless. (Philly’s SEPTA, in fact, is about to vote on what they also call “the doomsday budget,” unless the state bails them out. However, their governor and mayor have made saving transit their #1 priority, unlike here, where Blago and Richie lust after a vast new welfare state and a literally-colossal construction boondoggle.)

Let’s look at the one fully “privatized” passenger transportation industry in the USA: commercial airlines. Anyone who thinks that the airlines provide exquisite service at reasonable prices, please raise your hands. I thought not. And yet even this marvel of private-sector efficiency can’t turn a profit: in its first century, the airline industry earned $18 billion in profits — when it wasn’t chalking up $32 billion in losses. Airlines are so consistently awash in red ink that no less than Warren Buffett rued, “if I’d been at Kitty Hawk in 1903 when Orville Wright took off, I would have been farsighted enough, and public-spirited enough — I’d owe this to future capitalists — to shoot him down.”

Privatize! Fire the bums! Sell more ads!

We tried private operations of the CTA. Didn’t work; all those companies went bankrupt way back in 1947, which is how we got the CTA in the first place. Oh, and CTA can’t just pull a United Airlines and kill its pensions and benefits; that’s illegal. As for waste and graft, we the taxpayers already paid for a a giant audit of CTA, RTA, Metra, and Pace, courtesy of the state Auditor General. Finding: “the needs are real, the problems are real.” By almost any standard, our transit agencies are managing money pretty well. Yes, pensions in particular need a great big fix, but they’re so underfunded that one can hardly blame them for bankrupting CTA. Oh, and shuttering CTA headquarters tomorrow* wouldn’t even come close to filling this budget hole.

(In fact, I was recently in S.F., where a local newspaper ran a graph showing Chicago’s administrative overhead costs as far lower than LA’s or SF’s — and comparable to NYC, which theoretically would benefit from vast economies of scale.)

* Annual occupancy costs at the new HQ are lower than they were in the rented Mart space; the building was built with federal capital funds — see below — and CTA, as a state-chartered public agency, doesn’t pay property taxes on buildings it owns but does in rented space.

Advertising is not a major revenue source for transit agencies. Even auctioning off naming rights wouldn’t do much; a failed deal to rename a prime downtown station in Boston yielded just $160K a year. At that price, even renaming every Loop station would cover just 2% of CTA’s budget gap.

The Feds/Olympics will make everything better. Why all the fancy new construction?

Yes, the Feds pay half of construction (“capital”) costs for (a few) big new shiny things like Brown Line reconstruction, but they don’t pay anything for daily operations or maintenance. This is kind of like Mom paying for new clothes once Junior’s outgrown them, but refusing to pay to wash or mend the ones Jr. already has. No wonder he’s wearing flashy new shoes over hole-y socks.

You think the Feds will bail us out in 2016? Fat chance. Again, they only pay part of the construction costs; Salt Lake City, Vancouver, and other Olympic cities still had to hike local taxes big time to fund transit operations and construction. Oh, and CTA kind of needs money now, not in nine years — remember, the whole system grinds to a halt in October if no action is taken.

Cut off-peak service, don’t raise rush hour fares!

Bus and train drivers, like most of us, work full-time, eight-hour shifts. Hiring people just for rush hour is nearly impossible — would you work a split shift, 6 AM to 7 PM, without getting paid for 10 AM to 4 PM? Since the drivers are already paid to be there during rush hour, no additional drivers need to be hired for off-peak service. So, off-peak service is cheaper for CTA to provide. (Incidentally, day pass riders ride more off-peak, hence the day pass discount.)

That’s it! I’m gonna get a car!

Yeah, you and a hundred thousand other people, too. You think traffic’s bad, and parking and gas expensive? Just you wait.

Whine, whine, whine, whine, whine. Whine. (Repeat ad nauseam.)

Shut up and do something already. Visit SaveChicagolandTransit.com, read up, and take action. (Note: I am not materially affiliated with that site or with any transit agency.)

Transit operating profits in HK

The only public transit agency in the world* which makes a steady profit is the MTR in Hong Kong. To get a handle on Hong Kong’s population density, imagine moving the populations of Chicago, Aurora, and Joliet into Naperville — and, oh, cutting a really deep harbor through the middle.

Urbanized area of Hong Kong Island: 16.1 sq. mi.
Urbanized area of Kowloon peninsula: 18.1 sq. mi.
(Note: the above two areas are separated by one of the world’s busiest harbors, with just six fixed crossings, half of which are run by MTR.)
Population of above urbanized areas, 2005 est.: ~3.28 million
Total urbanized area: 34.2 sq. mi.

Population of Chicago, 2005 est.: 2,842,518
Population of Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet, the next three largest cities in the area (2003-2006, est. and Census): 443,176
Combined population of four largest Chicagoland cities: 3.285 million
Area of Naperville: 35.5 sq. mi.

You can either have profitable transit or suburban sprawl; drivers who say “hike the fares” can’t have your sprawl and eat it, too.

Oh, and 63% of MTR’s profits (and thus the funding for its capital costs, although many of its capital costs are also directly paid for by the government; note the financing sources for the line extensions mentioned at SEC EDGAR) come not from operations, but from real estate development — just like the old streetcar empires of yore.

Speaking of real estate values, nice quote in a Crain’s piece by Brandon Glenn:

“Whatever makes it harder for people to get to their jobs is bad for the city,” said Tom Kirschbraun, managing director of the real estate services company Jones Lang LaSalle Inc… Chicago’s hub-and-spoke transit system gives it a competitive advantage over most other U.S. cities, Mr. Kirschbraun said. “If you start dimming its effectiveness bit by bit, that competitive advantage starts to dwindle bit by bit,” he said.

* Tokyo’s privately owned subway systems are also profitable. I’m not sure about the public systems outside Tokyo.

Ald. Preckwinkle, urban designer

Fran Spielman reports that Ald. Preckwinkle is now about as well trained an urban designer as you’ll probably find in Chicago:

[The alderman’s] demands [for the Olympic Village] include: Connections to the Bronzeville community to the west so the village doesn’t become an “isolated little spur of McCormick Place”; a “street grid instead of superblocks,” with streets that “go through like a real neighborhood”; a street wall “built to the lot lines” instead of the “unusual curved buildings” now proposed; and ground floor retail “so there’s some life on the street.”

“I want it to be like a neighborhood. [What they’ve proposed] is sort of architectural egotism as opposed to a real neighborhood,” Preckwinkle said of the alternating series of eight- and 16-story condo towers.

“They’ve proposed curved buildings sort of plunked there. I don’t think that contributes to having a neighborhood. The buildings are self-contained, as opposed to part of a larger community. They proposed a connection at 31st Street. That’s not good enough. There have to be intervening streets.”

Preckwinkle noted that superblocks are being eliminated in the $1.6 billion Plan for Transformation now replacing CHA high-rises with mixed income communities.

“One of the things we’ve done is put the streets back in. If you want a real neighborhood, it doesn’t work to have superblocks,” she said.

Stuck at O’Hare?

My answers to some questions frequently asked by FlyerTalkers about Chicago. Since I usually fly United, answers focus on O’Hare’s Terminal 1; since I don’t drive, I’m assuming you won’t, either. Incidentally, my first visit to Chicago — and, in fact, only visit before I decided to move here — was a night spent at ORD due to a weather cancellation on a LAX-ORD-RDU trip on AA many years ago. Updated on a regular basis in response to new questions and/or inbound search inquiries. Continue reading