What Jane Jacobs didn’t say

As asinine and predictable as Ouroussoff’s cheap shot against New Urbanism was in the Sunday NY Times, at least he had a realistic view of Jane Jacob’s scope. The Death and Life of Great American Cities isn’t the end-all book about urbanism; from the title on down, it simply doesn’t concern itself with the less-than-great cities (like Ouroussoff’s native L.A.). Neither does it mention gentrification. Sure, gentrification is a Bad Thing that destroys neighborhood diversity, but _Death and Life_ (1961) was written before Ruth Glass coined “gentrification” (1964), and long before “yuppie” entered the lexicon (1982). Paul Goldberger in Metropolis notes this internal conflict — that Jacobs prized the small in an age which has merely tilted further towards gigantism:

Has the city simply become too big, and too gentrified, to continue to operate as Jacobs wished it to? So far as a great deal of Manhattan is concerned, and particularly Greenwich Village, the answer is probably yes. Jacobs could not afford to live on her beloved block of Hudson Street today. The real limitation of Jacobs’s thinking is in her belief that since a relatively natural process gave us the city we love — the old neighborhood-rich, pedestrian-oriented, exquisitely balanced New York — then planning would not be of much use in the future. Today, however, the natural order of things yields something very different from the vibrant street-oriented and highly diverse world Jacobs taught us to admire. The natural process of growth now gives us sprawl, gigantism, economic segregation, and homogeneous, dreary design.

So simplistic dispatches like this, from the Beachwood Reporter, strike me as ham-handedly not seeing the forest for the trees:

[S]till more sterile castle condos, inhabited by invisible people hostile to corner taverns and other less-than-shiny storefronts, replacing the humble working-class home or venerable three-flat… I see a city whose neighborhoods once so unique in character are melding into one giant honeypot for a select few whose pull gives them imperial imperative to push others around like chess pieces… the policy makers[‘]… hidden hands instead drive processes such as gentrification that you are led to believe are “natural”… The mixed use of light industry, entertainment, small business, and residential dwellings that Jacobs so (rightly) pegged as a key to urban neighborhoods and which once in part defined not just Wicker Park but many city neighborhoods, has largely been vanquished in Chicago, as everything and everyone is put in their place. It is a mistake. The money people are the means, but not neither the beginning nor the end. We are disposing of that which ought to be most valued, and replacing it with that which is most disposable.

Well, no. Jacobs could praise the industrial-era city because she lived in it, and for better or worse the industrial might that created Greenwich Village, Wicker Park, the Plateau, et al has fled for warmer, cheaper climes. (Sectors like steel were particularly hard hit in the past 10-20 years.) I resolutely believe in economic integration as a goal — I’ve posited that economic diversity is the determining factor of a good neighborhood — but our post-industrial economy, constantly retrenching state apparatus, and (wholly unsustainable) globalized drive towards gigantism bring with them nearly unprecedented levels of economic inequality. Economic integration, already barely tenable when Jacobs wrote at the midpoint of the thirty glorious years, would take Herculean feats to accomplish today. Accusing “the policy makers” of “fearing” the “ordered disorder of street life and the dynamism it brings to urban living” when, in fact, the city perpetually teeters on the edge of bankruptcy strikes me as awfully foolish. As Vincent Scully, an equally unimpeachable observer of cities, wrote, “it is all very well for stylish architectural critics to write that the center city ought to be deliciously gritty and tough. Its inhabitants prefer it gentle and calm.”

Remember that Jacobs actually did get to enact a dream zoning ordinance, for the King-Spadina area just west of downtown Toronto. The code obliterated use and FAR restrictions, imposing some performance measures and building-envelope controls instead. The result? “[D]evelopers have surged into the King-Spadina area,” says John Sewell. As she said in an interview with Bill Steigerwald,

Manufacturing was moving out to where they had more room and where it wasn’t as expensive. There were a lot of small developers who saw that these nice old buildings were just ideal for converting into apartments. They were lofts, mostly, and you know how popular they’ve become. But they were blocked from doing anything about it because of use zoning that said it should be industrial. So you can change that use zoning and allow residential… It’s magical, it’s wondrous, how fast those areas have been blossoming and coming to life again.

Jacobs also praised Portland’s gentrification: “People in Portland love Portland… They really like to see it improved. The waterfront is getting improved, and not with a lot of gimmicks, but with good, intelligent reuses of the old buildings. They’re good at rehabilitation.”

Later, when asked about the zealous gentrification of San Francisco (such that a lawyer could not afford to live there), all she could muster was “it’s gotten so popular.”

(Further, the Beachwood Reporter falls into the classic Chicago trap, likely borne of living under the machine’s benevolent dictatorship, of attributing too much to politics. Otis White [scroll to end] notes that “the three great forces shaping cities — 1. economics, 2. demographics and 3. politics — unfold in roughly that order.” Note the primacy of economics; Jacobs certainly did.)

One last lovely obituary: the Economist communicates her curiosity and expansive mind, capable of understanding the vastly complex urban organism and of accommodating what would seem to be contradictory views to anyone else:

Though she hated top-down planning and approved of markets, as any city-lover should, pink-tinted Canada proved more congenial both to writing and to campaigning. The government listened to her, as the rulers of New York had only ever half done… Not just the workings of cities, but of things in general were a lasting fascination to her. In Scranton, a sooty mining town, she was miserable when the locomotives were fitted with iron skirts that hid how the wheels and pistons moved.

(Incidentally, despite her love of large cities, she was always suspicious of large regimes and long thought Québec should separate from Canada, so that Montréal could serve as center rather than “Toronto periphery.”) The article also offers a tidy summation of Death and Life and Economy of Cities:

Cities had come first, as the natural eco-system of human beings, and only once the web of work and trade had reached a certain size was there any need for the help of the static, primitive and muddy countryside… Cities should be densely peopled, since density meant safety; old buildings should rub up against new, and rich against poor; zoning should be disregarded, so that people lived where their jobs were; cars should not be banned, but walking encouraged, on pavements made wide enough for children to play. Streets should be short, so that people were obliged to experiment and explore and have the fun of turning new corners, just as she had done when hunting for jobs and apartments in her first months in New York.

Addendum 17 Jul: Karrie Jacobs writes of Jane in the August Metropolis: “Although she wrote with great prescience about the tendency of the most vibrant neighborhoods to be undermined by their own success, I don’t think she could have anticipated how a process she characterized as ‘unslumming’ would eventually play out as a raging real estate boom… The mistake made by Jacobs’s detractors and acolytes alike is to regard her as a champion of stasis — to believe she was advocating the world’s cities be built as simulacra of the West Village circa 1960… The real notion is to build in a way that honors and nurtures complexity. And that’s an idea impossible to outgrow.”

Her later works on economies and nature make the link to complexity (and later, to chaos theory and what’s now called “emergence”) much clearer.

NYT headlines Chicago, BPC as “green business”

[xpost: “Gristmill”:http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/6/21/20640/3549%5D

This Sunday, the “New York Times”:http://nyt.com ran a package of Business articles focused on “The Business of Green”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/index.html. (If previous packages are any indication, the links will remain active longer than the standard week.)

Hearteningly for this Second City resident, Keith Schneider’s banner headline — “To Revitalize a City, Try Spreading Some Mulch”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17chicago.html — spotlights Mayor Richard M. Daley’s efforts to improve the city’s quality of life through greening initiatives. While many local wags have ridiculed the Daley as a mere gardener, the article calls new street trees and spiffy parks an “economic development strategy” central to the city’s “general economic resurgence”:http://economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=5601463:

bq. [M]ulch is an organic metaphor, tying together the various pieces of Chicago’s novel development strategy, praised by the Sierra Club and the Chamber of Commerce alike. By wrapping its arms and famous big shoulders around its Latin motto — Urbs in Horto (City in a Garden) — Chicago has become a global model for how a metropolis can pursue environmental goals to achieve economic success.

Having moved here shortly after the 1996 Democratic National Committee convention that landscape entrepreneur Christy Webber says Daley’s greening strategy dates back to, I can’t really speak to how big of a sea change these policies have proven. And as much as the article over-sells Chicago’s strengths (e.g., tying population growth caused by Latino immigration to downtown flowerbeds, ignoring the transit improvements that were canceled to pay down park bonds), it’s always nice to have our humble Midwestern achievements noticed east of the Hudson River.

Speaking of the Hudson, “Robin Pogrebin reports on efforts”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17leeds.html by New York’s “Battery Park City Authority”:http://www.batteryparkcity.org/page/page1.html to complete its decades-long, 92-acre waterfront development to “exacting environmental standards”:http://www.batteryparkcity.org/page/page23.html. One new apartment tower will even use heat+power cogeneration — a remarkable step forward in efficient, distributed energy generation:

bq. The Verdesian runs on a natural-gas microturbine that creates electricity, which helps power the building. The heat given off in this process is used to create the hot water. Mr. Albanese said this amounted to overall efficiency of 80 to 85 percent for the building. A typical power plant — which burns fossil fuels like oil, gas or coal — is about 30 percent efficient.

The story’s accompanying video shows Pogrebin drinking from the “in-house sewage treatment plant”:http://flickr.com/photos/paytonc/4652169/in/set-459914/ in the Solaire, a LEED-NC Gold rated apartment tower that opened in 2003.

Other articles in the package report on large corporations voluntarily “profiting from the green bandwagon”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17giant.html, sometimes with help from “enviro critics”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17partner.html ; “emissions trading”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17exchange.html in the US and Europe; a sort-of UL Labs for “foodservice equipment efficiency”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17food.html (one restauranteur reports a one-week payback time for new dishwashing faucet nozzles); potential “downsides to new technological fixes”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17tech.html ; “eco-advertising”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17market.html and counteracting “greenwashing”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17certify.html with certification; “organic pork”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17pigs.html ; “wind energy”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17wind.html ; reducing and recycling toxic “e-waste”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17ewaste.html ; and greening “government purchasing”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17procure.html.

Chicago’s obesity czar

Christopher Conte writes in _Governing_ about Chicago health commissioner Dr. Terry Mason and his new “war on obesity”:http://66.23.131.98/archive/2006/jun/obesity.txt, in the context of both national and local efforts.

[My opinion coming soon]

bq. With this mix of promising starts, disappointing gaps and unknowns, how can Terry Mason, the city’s new health commissioner, best contribute to the effort to reduce obesity? He can, of course, add a strong voice to the chorus urging people to improve their eating and exercise habits. But public health advocates say government is uniquely able to contribute in another way: It can change the environment in which people make unconscious, daily decisions about such behaviors. And that, experts say, may be crucial. As the long, sad story of failed diets and abandoned resolutions to get more exercise demonstrate, relying on individuals to change by willpower alone doesn’t have a good track record…

bq. Some Chicagoans would like to see Mason join the effort to make the city more pedestrian- and bicycle-friendly… That attitude, [Benet] Haller [of DPD] says, repeatedly thwarts the department’s efforts to make Chicago a more pedestrian-friendly city. Drivers oppose efforts to increase housing density for fear it will lead to parking shortages, for instance, and businesses insist on surrounding their buildings with parking lots rather than locating on the sidewalk where they would be more welcoming to people on foot. The issue is politically radioactive, says Haller, who adds that he would welcome the health commissioner’s support.

bq. Perhaps even more eager for an alliance with Mason is the Chicagoland Bicycle Federation. It is working with the city to close a few miles of city streets one day this summer for bicyclists and pedestrians, a first step toward a goal of closing 68 miles of city streets on Sundays. The group’s ultimate goal is to make it much easier for people to bicycle city streets every day. To do that, it would deliberately slow down automobile traffic by making changes such as reducing the size of lanes and intersections–another politically explosive idea. “We need to broaden our base of support, and public health is a big piece of that,” says Rob Sadowsky, the federation’s executive director.

Investors see the green in building

[xpost: “Gristmill”:http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/6/21/20825/2413%5D

Contrary to popular belief, most developers don’t bulldoze Bambi solely to satisfy their innate avarice. Instead, they pave the Earth at the bidding of their clients — by which I mean lenders and investors, not homebuyers, office tenants, or other such “end users.” Regardless of how exciting and cool a development proposal is, it just won’t happen if some faceless banker doesn’t advance a big pile of cash.

As rapacious national banks swallow smaller, local competitors by the dozen, these lending decisions have increasingly fallen to bankers blindly applying generic guidelines. The result: a paint-by-numbers landscape of interchangeable (but financially safe) subdivisions, strip malls, and office parks. Any developer who dared to innovate (say, by developing on “a brownfield site”:http://www.realestatejournal.com/propertyreport/newsandtrends/20060418-haughney.html)would have to do so on his own dime — and sure enough, many pioneering examples of New Urbanism have been backed by “nontraditional” investors like “old-money families”:http://www.mashpeecommons.com, large corporations (like “Microsoft”:http://www.issaquahhighlands.com/MultiuseProject.html, “Disney”:http://www.celebrationfl.com, “EDS”:http://www.legacyinplano.com/community/town_center.aspx, and “Ebsco”:http://www.mtlaurel.com/our_vision.cfm), and even charitable foundations. Despite growing interest in “socially responsible investing”:http://www.socialinvest.org, few investors have thought of how to clean up the picture in the building industry — source of, “say some”:http://www.aia.org/aiarchitect/thisweek06/0203/0203globalwarming.cfm, half of America’s greenhouse gas emissions.

Now, Philip Langdon of “New Urban News”:http://newurbannews.com/InvestpoolJune06.html reports on a new generation of private-equity investment funds have started up to match socially responsible real estate investors and leading-edge developers. Green developer extraordinaire “Jonathan Rose”:http://www.rose-network.com, of New York, sees his new “$100 million fund”:http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/17/business/businessspecial2/17leeds.html?pagewanted=2 as an investor alternative to “buying stocks in REITs [Real Estate Investment Trusts, publicly traded corporations whose primary business is real estate] which are based on sprawl.” Perhaps the most promising is the $100 million Green Living Fund, based in Santa Cruz and launched by Kacey Fitzpatrick:

bq. Fitzpatrick, cofounder and vice president of sustainability at the Green Living Fund, said her pool is the result of a desire “to promote the right kind of development.” She observes: “Our goal is to promote the creation of vibrant, pedestrian-oriented, walkable communities with a mix of uses and a mix of housing types and incomes. Transit is a key piece of what we are doing.” The fund will use “the LEED [Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design] standards for “Neighborhood Development”:http://www.usgbc.org/leed/nd as the criteria for our initial assessment of a location,” she says. Buildings will have to qualify for at least a LEED-Silver designation.

Whereas Rose hopes to raise funds from private and nonprofit investors, Fitzpatrick (an architect by training who hopes to make a bigger impact) hopes to gain substantial funding from public pension funds. If these funds successfully quantify the financial benefits of investing in green development, they could attract more investment, thereby mainstreaming now-unconventional forms of development.

I often liken the process of changing the way America builds cities to turning around a giant ship; many will be frustrated with the slow pace, but taking a trillion-dollar industry optimized to efficiently turn forests and fields into sprawl at the rate of five acres a minute means a lot of change. If investors — the ones paying for the bulldozers — catch on, we can count on those bulldozers being used far more gently in the future.

Texxi: demand responsive rideshares

bq. “texxi”:http://www.texxi.com/pro/texxi.nsf/pages/What+is+texxi is a Demand Responsive Transit Broker. We use advanced scheduling technology to make the most of existing transport resources at times of peak demand. Use of the scheme extends well beyond club night transportation… Anywhere, anytime there are a lot of people to move from a single location as efficiently and safely as possible, texxi will provide a good solution to a perennial headache.

Essentially, Texxi applies ridesharing to get Liverpool clubgoers home late at night, making optimal use of the cab fleet. The system naturally uses text messaging, which is cheap, can be processed automatically, and ideally suited to “a nightclub audience”:http://dodgeball.com (quiet, unobtrusive, easy to do while drunk). Software takes over the taxi dispatcher’s role, generating lower costs and faster turnaround.

(Found via a GMail ad, no less.)

Your shield against Mall*Wart

“Wal Mart Watch”:http://walmartwatch.com/battlemart recently posted Battle-Mart, where “you’ll find the resources to draw a line in the sand and defend your community.” Sections include a BattlePlan, updates on strategies from around the country, and a blog by anti-Wal crusader Al Norman.

Why make an example out of Mall*Wart? “Charles Fishman”:http://www.fastcompany.com/online/77/walmart.html has a clear-headed exposé of the corporation’s impact on America’s macro-economy in, of all publications, _Fast Company_. Perhaps the most succinct sentence:

bq. Says Steve Dobbins, president of thread maker Carolina Mills: “We want clean air, clear water, good living conditions, the best health care in the world — yet we aren’t willing to pay for anything manufactured under those restrictions.”

Redoing the suburbs

Otis White’s “latest column”:http://www.governing.com/articles/6assess.htm in Governing magazine gives a few ideas about reviving inner-ring suburbs through incremental investment in residential areas. These areas often still have grids, sidewalks, smaller lots, and bus routes; cutting a few new streets to improve connectivity and redeveloping commercial strips as mixed-use corridors — as is being done in areas like “Columbia Pike in Arlington”:http://www.baconsrebellion.com/Roadtoruin/BRNS_05-08-08.php, where “new transit”:http://www.piketransit.com/ and lenient new “form-based zoning”:http://www.arlingtonva.us/Departments/CPHD/Forums/columbia/CPHDForumsColumbiaColumbiaPikeInitiativeMain.aspx have touched off new development — could be the other steps in a comprehensive program of reurbanization. Many of the fringes of our large cities have similar “gray area” urban fabric, too, with houses ill-suited for today’s households.

bq. Lucy and Phillips found several creative efforts to deal with the small-house problem and the accompanying signs of middle-aged suburban decay. Some of them are modest and simple, such as distributing guidebooks to show homeowners exactly what they need to do to turn a small house into a bigger one. Some local governments offer lists of contractors and lenders willing to take them on. Others have waived the standard permit fees for the house expansions they particularly want to encourage. In the Kansas City area, the metropolitan regional council publishes what it calls the First Suburbs Coalition Idea Book, with design ideas for renovation of almost every common middle-aged suburban house, along with practical lending advice.

Reminds me, somewhat, of those old mansion districts that became rooming-house slums and eventually came back. Incidentally, Jane Jacobs “thought likewise”:http://reason.com/0106/fe.bs.city.shtml :

bq. There’ll come a time when the standard suburbs that you’re talking about — even the wealthiest ones — will change. Look at what has happened to very wealthy areas within cities where great mansions turned into funeral parlors, and so on. It’ll happen. Just when, I don’t know. I’m very suspicious of prophesizing, because life is full of surprises, but I think we are seeing the precursors of the very beginning of the change in the suburbs… “[The suburbs will] evolve into something, but I don’t know what you’ll call them and I don’t know exactly how they’ll resolve. But they’ll thicken up, get denser.

Profitable funkiness in Toronto

The conventional wisdom doubts that space for really funky stores could ever be financed. Well, one interesting experiment in doing so appears to be under way in Toronto, where the the developers of the Distillery District, a brownfield complex near downtown, have filled their buildings with cool local artisans. Sure, many cities have Artspace projects for subsidized studios downtown, but the Distillery District “is an initiative of private entrepreneurs on privately owned land with no public support.” Seems to get good reviews, too.

The same model appears to work for the Urbanspace Property Group in the office market, as well — notably the Centre for Social Innovation shared space for small nonprofits, but also in their pioneering rehab of 401 Richmond and its activation of the King-Spadina area.

Jetting off to global warming

[posted to “gristmill”:http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/6/13/115230/255%5D

This week’s “The Economist”:http://economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=7033931 (paygate, although you may be able to get a “day pass”) carries a special report on aviation’s contribution to carbon emissions:

bq. [F]lying a fully laden A380 [super-jumbo jet] is, in terms of energy, like a 14km (nine-mile) queue of traffic on the road below … Aviation is a relatively small source of the emissions blamed for global warming, but its share is growing the fastest. The evidence is strong that emissions from jet engines, including the streaks of cloud (called contrails) they leave behind in the sky, could be especially damaging … You can buy a hybrid car, switch to low-energy light bulbs in your house and eat locally grown organic food. But the dozen daily decisions on which you base your husbandry are trivial compared with the handful of yearly choices about that holiday or this business trip.

Even worse, air travel demand has grown by 75% since 1980 (my brief lifetime) and shows no sign of abating: Airbus projects that in 2020, just the increase in miles flown will equal all air travel worldwide in 1969.

Measuring the “true” fuel (and thus carbon) efficiency of aviation depends on many assumptions, including load factors aboard planes and the distance of trips. (As with car trips, longer trips are more efficient.) Measuring on a per-mile basis ignores the fact that few people drive 10,000 miles a day; measuring per trip ignores the fact that most people fly infrequently. However, the best-case scenarios show that flying is no more carbon efficient than driving; the worst-case scenarios show emissions three times higher than driving.

The obvious solution to these externalized costs would be a carbon tax of some sort, and naturally the European Union would be the first the propose one: the European Parliament will vote in July on whether to add flights at European airports to its “emissions trading scheme” (ETS), a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions. Yet this would constitute a first-ever tax on jet fuel: currently, tolls (landing charges and passenger fees) pay for airports, quite unlike how the gas tax pays for roads.

Furthermore, the financially teetering airline industry can’t agree on anything. American carriers say they’d be exempt, as the U.S. is no longer party to Kyoto; European “legacy” and low-fare carriers disagree about how to allocate the initial carbon cap.

Worse yet, few alternatives exist to Jet A kerosene. New aircraft offer incremental efficiency improvements, but few breakthroughs are on the horizon. Alternative fuels and fuel cells are too heavy for use aboard planes, and alternative travel modes are far slower. (One exception is high-speed rail over short and medium hops, but even the best such services worldwide face stiff competition from low-fare bus and air routes, and besides, trips under 1,500 km account for only 20% of aviation carbon emissions.) Operational efficiencies, like reducing congestion at busy airports, could reduce emissions, but not by a whole lot.

I’ll admit I feel vastly more guilty about the carbon emissions of the taxicab ride to the airport than the plane ride from the airport. I’ve often chosen cheap short-hop flights instead of overnight Amtrak trips, and the notion of offsetting that choice by buying carbon credits doesn’t really cross my mind when the flight attendant hands over those pretzels. But perhaps higher prices might be the ticket: “fuel surcharges” of $100 atop already pricey transoceanic trips did partially dissuade me from a recent long-distance getaway.

Descending the ivory tower

On my way down to the University of Chicago campus recently to give a tour, I realized that the tremendous socioeconomic change that has taken place on the mid-South Side could really open up Hyde Park to the rest of the city. From an “artist colony in Bridgeport”:http://travel2.nytimes.com/2006/02/19/travel/19surface.html (written up in the NY Times!) to the rapid infill of formerly bombed-out “Bronzeville”:http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/custom/photos/chi-060205kenwood2-story,1,460184.story?coll=chi-photos-utl, Hyde Park is no longer the island it once was. Sure enough, brochures on campus touted “Arts & Culture in Hyde Park”:http://arts.uchicago.edu to tourists, and placards on trains throughout the city trumpeted the new Hyde Park Arts Center. Scores of people, mostly Chicagoans, showed up at the tours — many more than I was expecting, even with the lovely weather.

Perhaps most interestingly, the university has started a Experience Chicago site which _recommends_ that students use the Garfield bus and Red Line to get across town, and even lists gay bars in South Shore. Big, big difference.

To wit, I recently got a party invitation set for a gallery space near 41st & State, once probably the epicenter of South Side decay. Now that the Taylor Homes are gone, it’s wide open!

“Opt out” to prevent gentrification

A few years ago, when I worked on affordable housing policy, we (with Janet Smith of UIC) took a detailed look at Census, HMDA, abandonment, etc. figures for Chicago neighborhoods and came up with a “cluster” grouping of neighborhoods. The clusters weren’t really used in the final analysis, but they did make sense:
* a big chunk of the city was still stuck in decline, with high vacancy
* huge swaths of immigrant neighborhoods were economically healthy but suffered from overcrowding
* a few areas were (statistically) stable and balanced, but reports from the ground indicated impending gentrification
* some areas were undergoing rapid gentrification without new supply
* other areas were gentrifying, but adding supply that matched demand.

For-sale prices in the last three categories (there were seven, I’ve forgotten two) were all rising, with one exception: Chinatown, where prices were stable and indeed, fairly low. It turns out that lots of new housing was built in the 1990s. Light amounts of subsidies (TIF, 202, muni bonds) paid for infrastructure, senior housing, and community facilities, but most of the housing was built by local builders for community residents.

Earlier this year, a former coworker and I talked about Chinatown, and she found the other part of the picture: the financial ties that keep capital circulating through the neighborhood, and to a certain extent keep neighborhood property out of the hands of speculators on the general market. She wrote a neat article after that.

Similar reports from nearby Latino neighborhoods indicate that they’ve managed to avoid gentrification and keep housing affordable to working families through similar methods, keeping transactions within a local market, as opposed to the wider, Realtor-driven market.

And, for what it’s worth, the voluntary inclusionary policy in Chicago creates about 500 units a year out of 10,000 or so built every year. To ensure long-term affordability, individuals and communities can opt (perhaps partially) out of the market system of ever-inflating prices and into a system that views housing as a non-market good. Models like Community Land Trusts and limited equity cooperatives allow people to take their land, opt out of the market, and provide stable, low-cost, legal, no- or low-subsidy housing in perpetuity. The key is to enter the neighborhood at the right moment: before the big run-up of land values that accompanies gentrification (which often roughly coincides with the neighborhood’s debut on the MLS).

(posted to urbanists)